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Stadium Background

Motema Pembe vs Celeste

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade des Martyrs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Motema Pembe
11%
Draws
9%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Celeste have won more games recently than Motema Pembe.
  • Model gives Motema Pembe a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motema Pembe Celeste
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
0:0
Dec 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Motema Pembe
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Motema Pembe
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
0:3
May 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motema Pembe 76 / 100
Celeste 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motema Pembe Celeste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motema Pembe found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Celeste conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Motema Pembe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motema Pembe VS Celeste
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00