Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OC Renaissance in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored OC Renaissance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Motema Pembe
35%
Draws
24%
OC Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motema Pembe lately — more wins on the board than OC Renaissance.
  • Motema Pembe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 20%
OC Renaissance Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motema Pembe OC Renaissance
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 14 12
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.36 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs Motema Pembe
0:0
Dec 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
2:1
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motema Pembe 76 / 100
OC Renaissance 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motema Pembe OC Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motema Pembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motema Pembe scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: OC Renaissance conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Motema Pembe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motema Pembe VS OC Renaissance
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motema Pembe

(Home)
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

OC Renaissance

(Away)
15 Apr
OC Renaissance
2 : 3
AS Vita Club
11 Apr
Celeste
5 : 0
OC Renaissance
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
02 Apr
OC Renaissance
1 : 1
FC Renaissance
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)