Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade des Martyrs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OC Renaissance in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored OC Renaissance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Motema Pembe
11%
Draws
9%
OC Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motema Pembe lately — more wins on the board than OC Renaissance.
  • Motema Pembe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 20%
OC Renaissance Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motema Pembe OC Renaissance
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 14 12
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs Motema Pembe
0:0
Dec 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
2:1
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs OC Renaissance
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motema Pembe 76 / 100
OC Renaissance 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motema Pembe OC Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motema Pembe scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: OC Renaissance conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Motema Pembe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motema Pembe VS OC Renaissance
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00