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Motherwell U19 vs Kilmarnock U19

Scotland Scotland

Youth Division U19 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motherwell U19 play Kilmarnock U19 in the Youth Division U19 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Motherwell U19 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Kilmarnock U19 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Motherwell U19 won 3, Kilmarnock U19 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2011 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Motherwell U19 and 1.81 for Kilmarnock U19. This points to a Motherwell U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Motherwell U19
15%
Draws
30%
Kilmarnock U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Motherwell U19 picked up more points recently compared to Kilmarnock U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Motherwell U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Kilmarnock U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell U19 Kilmarnock U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2011 Youth Division U19
Motherwell U19 vs Kilmarnock U19
1:2
Sep 24, 2010 Youth Division U19
Kilmarnock U19 vs Motherwell U19
0:3
Mar 13, 2010 Youth Division U19
Kilmarnock U19 vs Motherwell U19
0:4
Aug 29, 2009 Youth Division U19
Motherwell U19 vs Kilmarnock U19
6:1
Mar 6, 2009 Youth Division U19
Motherwell U19 vs Kilmarnock U19
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell U19 52 / 100
Kilmarnock U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell U19 Kilmarnock U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Motherwell U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Motherwell U19 attacking → ← attacking Kilmarnock U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Kilmarnock U19 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Motherwell U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kilmarnock U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25