Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motherwell vs Celtic

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motherwell host Celtic in the Premiership. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Motherwell have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Celtic's 2.1 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Motherwell have won 1 to Celtic's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.25 - 1.75) back Celtic to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motherwell
15%
Draws
59%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than Motherwell.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Celtic taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 12%
Celtic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell Celtic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.43 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Celtic
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Motherwell
3:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Celtic
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Motherwell
3:2
Feb 2, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Celtic
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell 27 / 100
Celtic 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Motherwell found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Celtic has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Motherwell remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell VS Celtic
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Motherwell
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Celtic

(Away)
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
11 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)