Sport Picks

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Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Agyei E.
19' Event
Palmer-Houlden S.
Assist: Sparrow T.
20'
Sub
Yoro A. In: Tait D.
Out: Yoro A.

AI Match Summary

Motherwell in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motherwell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Motherwell
20%
Draws
51%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dundee Utd lately — more wins on the board than Motherwell.
  • Motherwell are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell Dundee Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmer-Houlden S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lowry A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dundee Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell 67 / 100
Dundee Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dundee Utd let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Motherwell went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell VS Dundee Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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Dundee Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)