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Motherwell W vs Celtic W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motherwell W host Celtic W in the SWPL 1 Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Motherwell W at 1.58 goals for, 2.39 against; Celtic W at 2.13 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Motherwell W have won 0 to Celtic W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.38) back Celtic W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Motherwell W
15%
Draws
57%
Celtic W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic W have won more games recently than Motherwell W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Celtic W taking it.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell W Celtic W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 20
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.58 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Motherwell W
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Celtic W
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Motherwell W
7:1
May 18, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Motherwell W
6:0
Apr 20, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Celtic W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell W 18 / 100
Celtic W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell W Celtic W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Motherwell W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Celtic W conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Motherwell W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell W VS Celtic W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
Page 1 of 7

Celtic W

(Away)
04 Oct
Celtic W
4 : 0
Spartans W
27 Sept
Rangers W
5 : 2
Celtic W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Spartans W
06 Sept
Partick W
2 : 3
Celtic W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers W 7 7 0 0 26:4 21
2 Celtic W 7 6 0 1 17:8 18
3 Hearts W 7 5 1 1 24:7 16
4 Glasgow City W 7 4 2 1 22:8 14
5 Hibernian W 7 4 1 2 22:9 13
6 Partick W 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
7 Spartans W 7 2 1 4 6:21 7
8 Motherwell W 7 2 0 5 4:19 6
9 Aberdeen W 7 0 0 7 2:21 0
10 Montrose W 7 0 0 7 6:29 0
Promotion - SWPL 1 Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group)