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Motherwell W vs Hamilton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Motherwell W Logo

Motherwell W

2 - 0
FT
Hamilton W Logo

Hamilton W

Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Macdonald E.
83' Event
Mcarthur M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Motherwell W
15%
Draws
51%
Hamilton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motherwell W lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton W.
  • Hamilton W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Motherwell W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Motherwell W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Motherwell W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell W Hamilton W
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.89 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.08 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Motherwell W vs Hamilton W
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Motherwell W
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Hamilton W
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Motherwell W
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Hamilton W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Macdonald E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcarthur M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Hamilton W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell W 18 / 100
Hamilton W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell W Hamilton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hamilton W conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Motherwell W scored in 68% of their last 37 games.

Solid form: Motherwell W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell W VS Hamilton W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.86
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
Page 1 of 8

Hamilton W

(Away)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Motherwell W -
TBD -
Hamilton W -
TBD -
Kilmarnock W -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian W -
Boroughmuir W -
TBD -
Montrose W -
TBD -
Hearts W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston W 3
Queen's Park W 1
TBD -
Glasgow City W -
Celtic W -
TBD -
Spartans W -
TBD -
Rangers W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick W -
TBD -
Gartcairn W 4
Dundee Utd W 3
1/8-finals
Motherwell W 2
Hamilton W 0
Kilmarnock W 1
Hibernian W 8
Boroughmuir W 1
Montrose W 0
Hearts W -
TBD -
Livingston W 0
Glasgow City W 8
Celtic W 1
Spartans W 0
Rangers W -
TBD -
Partick W 3
Gartcairn W 0
Quarter-finals
Motherwell W -
Hibernian W -
Boroughmuir W -
Hearts W -
Glasgow City W -
Celtic W -
Rangers W -
Partick W -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -