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Moto Club vs Americano Bacabal

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Maranhense 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Maranhense 2017 game between Moto Club and Americano Bacabal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moto Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Moto Club
33%
Draws
27%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Moto Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moto Club come out ahead of Americano Bacabal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moto Club a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 20%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moto Club Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Maranhense
Americano Bacabal vs Moto Club
0:3
Jan 29, 2017 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Americano Bacabal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moto Club 40 / 100
Americano Bacabal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moto Club Americano Bacabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano Bacabal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

Moto Club's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Americano Bacabal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moto Club VS Americano Bacabal
1.13 Goals Scored 0.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Moto Club

(Home)
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1
Moto Club
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Americano Bacabal

(Away)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Imperatriz63307:412
2Sao Jose (MA)61326:66
3Sampaio Correa61326:76
4Santa Quiteria61327:96
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cordino EC632110:711
2Maranhao63219:911
3Moto Club631212:710
4Americano Bacabal60155:131
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (First stage - Play Offs)