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Moto Club vs Cordino EC

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moto Club play Cordino EC in the Maranhense 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moto Club averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Cordino EC averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Moto Club won 3, Cordino EC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 19, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Moto Club and 0.81 for Cordino EC. This points to a Moto Club double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Moto Club
35%
Draws
20%
Cordino EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moto Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Moto Club picked up more points recently compared to Cordino EC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 26%
Cordino EC Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moto Club Cordino EC
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 14 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.08 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Cordino EC
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 Maranhense
Cordino EC vs Moto Club
0:0
Jan 12, 2023 Maranhense
Cordino EC vs Moto Club
0:0
Feb 6, 2022 Maranhense
Cordino EC vs Moto Club
1:2
Feb 20, 2020 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Cordino EC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cordino EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moto Club 46 / 100
Cordino EC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moto Club Cordino EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Moto Club or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Moto Club attacking → ← attacking Cordino EC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moto Club scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Cordino EC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Moto Club went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cordino EC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 25
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maranhao1494127:931
2Sampaio Correa1484224:1328
3Imperatriz1474317:1225
4Moto Club1445515:2017
5Pinheiro1428420:1914
6Tuntum1454519:2313
7Chapadinha1423911:239
8Cordino EC1414914:287