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Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Jerusalem

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Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motor Lublin play Hapoel Jerusalem in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Motor Lublin averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Hapoel Jerusalem averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Motor Lublin won 2, Hapoel Jerusalem won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Motor Lublin and 1.19 for Hapoel Jerusalem. This points to a Motor Lublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Motor Lublin
31%
Draws
28%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Motor Lublin picked up more points recently compared to Hapoel Jerusalem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.85 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Motor Lublin
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Motor Lublin
0-0
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 41 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Hapoel Jerusalem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Motor Lublin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Motor Lublin attacking → ← attacking Hapoel Jerusalem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Hapoel Jerusalem let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Motor Lublin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Jerusalem lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 32
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00