Sport Picks
Motor Lublin vs Legia Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin 
Match Events
13'
13'
Kapustka B.
45'
45'
Augustyniak R.
(Penalty)
61'
61'
Sub
Meyer P. In: Bourhane Y.
Out: Meyer P.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Motor Lublin and Legia finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Legia come out ahead of Motor Lublin on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 14%
Legia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motor Lublin | Legia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Legia
2:3
Sep 1, 2026 Polish Cup
Motor Lublin vs Legia
3:0
May 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Motor Lublin
4:0
Dec 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Legia
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Legia
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Legia Compare
Top Goalscorer Zewlakow J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motor Lublin 31 / 100
Legia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motor Lublin Legia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motor Lublin's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Legia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Motor Lublin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Motor Lublin VS Legia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Motor Lublin
(Home) 19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
16 Aug
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 GKS Katowice
Page 1 of 4
Legia
(Away) 26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
22 Aug
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
