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Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Boisgard Q.
62'
Sub
Aiko M. In: Fabio Ronaldo
Out: Aiko M.
62'
Sub
Simon C. In: Legowski M.
Out: Simon C.

AI Match Summary

Piast Gliwice in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piast Gliwice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motor Lublin
15%
Draws
59%
Piast Gliwice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piast Gliwice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motor Lublin lately — more wins on the board than Piast Gliwice.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 14%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Piast Gliwice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
0:2
Feb 20, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
0:0
May 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
1:4
Nov 8, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Lublin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Piast Gliwice Compare

Top Goalscorer Margalef J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mucha S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 31 / 100
Piast Gliwice 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Piast Gliwice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Piast Gliwice conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Motor Lublin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Piast Gliwice
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Piast Gliwice

(Away)
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 10 8 1 1 19:9 25
2 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 21:8 22
3 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 9 4 0 5 13:16 12
11 Cracovia 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
12 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
13 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 Slask Wroclaw 10 1 3 6 12:19 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)