Sport Picks

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Polish Cup Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Rakow Czestochowa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Polish Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Motor Lublin have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Rakow Czestochowa's 1.87 scored and 1.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Motor Lublin have won 0 to Rakow Czestochowa's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.63) point toward Rakow Czestochowa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Motor Lublin

15%

Draws

39%

Rakow Czestochowa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Rakow Czestochowa lately — more wins on the board than Motor Lublin.
46% — that's where the model lands on Motor Lublin taking it.
Rakow Czestochowa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Rakow Czestochowa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 14%

Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Motor Lublin	Rakow Czestochowa
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	11	13
Draws	7	4
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.59	1.87
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin

2:1

Apr 12, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa

1:1

Oct 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin

2:0

Dec 7, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin

2:2

Jul 21, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 39 / 100

Rakow Czestochowa 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Motor Lublin Rakow Czestochowa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motor Lublin Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Rakow Czestochowa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Motor Lublin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Rakow Czestochowa

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)

17 Oct

Motor Lublin

3 : 2

Slask Wroclaw

12 Oct

Radomiak Radom

2 : 3

Motor Lublin

19 Sept

Motor Lublin

0 : 0

Gornik Zabrze

11 Sept

Rakow Czestochowa

2 : 1

Motor Lublin

05 Sept

Motor Lublin

2 : 3

Legia

Page 1 of 6

Rakow Czestochowa

(Away)

16 Oct

KS Wieczysta Krakow

1 : 2

Rakow Czestochowa

09 Oct

Rakow Czestochowa

1 : 4

GKS Katowice

02 Oct

Rakow Czestochowa

4 : 1

Polonia Bytom

19 Sept

Korona Kielce

3 : 2

Rakow Czestochowa

15 Sept

Rakow Czestochowa

2 : 3

Zaglebie

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Legnica -

TBD -

Chrobry Glogow -

Widzew Lodz II -

TBD -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

TBD -

Zaglebie -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda -

TBD -

Unia Skierniewice 2

Kleczew 3

Podhale Nowy Targ 2

Chojniczanka 0

TBD -

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -

Avia Swidnik -

TBD -

KS Wieczysta Krakow -

Korona Kielce II -

TBD -

Radomiak Radom -

Warta Poznan 0

R. Rzeszow 1

TBD -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

TBD -

Podbeskidzie 2

Hutnik Krakow 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

TBD -

Sandecja Nowy S. 3

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0

Beskid Andrychow -

TBD -

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Stal Stalowa Wola 2

Motor Lublin -

TBD -

Legia -

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork -

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk -

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice -

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa -

Widzew Lodz -

TBD -

Korona Kielce -

Plock II -

TBD -

Puszcza -

Luzino -

TBD -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow 3

LKS Lodz II 1

TBD -

Cracovia -

Zielona Gora -

TBD -

Ruch Chorzow -

Gornik Zabrze II -

TBD -

Ol. Grudziadz 5

Swit Szczecin 3

Suwalki -

TBD -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Chemik Bydgoszcz -

TBD -

Piast Gliwice -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

TBD -

Wisla -

Slask Wroclaw -

TBD -

Pogon Szczecin -

Leczna 2

KKS Kalisz 0

TBD -

Stal Mielec -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0

TBD -

LKS Lodz -

Kluczevia Stargard -

TBD -

Pogon Siedlce 3

GKS Jastrzebie 0

1/32-finals

Legnica 0

Chrobry Glogow 1

Widzew Lodz II 1

Polonia Bytom 2

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3

Zaglebie 2

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda 1

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1

Avia Swidnik 3

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1

Korona Kielce II 0

Radomiak Radom 1

R. Rzeszow 0

Arka Gdynia 4

S. Rzeszow 3

Podbeskidzie 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3

Sandecja Nowy S. 2

Beskid Andrychow 1

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Motor Lublin 3

Legia 0

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork 1

Lechia Gdansk 2

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice 0

Polonia Warszawa 1

Widzew Lodz 0

Korona Kielce 1

Plock II 0

Puszcza 2

Luzino 2

Wisla Plock 3

Pruszkow 2

Cracovia 1

Zielona Gora 0

Ruch Chorzow 2

Gornik Zabrze II 3

Ol. Grudziadz 4

Suwalki 1

Termalica Bruk-Bet 5

Chemik Bydgoszcz 0

Piast Gliwice 3

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole 2

Wisla 1

Slask Wroclaw 2

Pogon Szczecin 1

Leczna 4

Stal Mielec 3

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

LKS Lodz 0

Kluczevia Stargard 2

Pogon Siedlce 3

1/16-finals

Chrobry Glogow -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

Lech Poznan -

Kleczew -

Podhale Nowy Targ -

Avia Swidnik -

Radomiak Radom -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

Slask Wroclaw II -

Motor Lublin -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Lechia Gdansk -

Jagiellonia -

Polonia Warszawa -

Korona Kielce -

Puszcza -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow -

Ruch Chorzow -

Ol. Grudziadz -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Piast Gliwice -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

Slask Wroclaw -

Leczna -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy -

Pogon Siedlce -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Motor Lublin

Rakow Czestochowa

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

Rakow Czestochowa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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