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Motor Lublin vs Spartakus Daleszyce

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motor Lublin play Spartakus Daleszyce in the III Liga - Group IV 2018/2019. Motor Lublin are favorites here. Recently, Motor Lublin averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Spartakus Daleszyce averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Motor Lublin won 5, Spartakus Daleszyce won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2019 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Motor Lublin and 1.13 for Spartakus Daleszyce. This points to a Motor Lublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Motor Lublin
18%
Draws
17%
Spartakus Daleszyce
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Motor Lublin picked up more points recently compared to Spartakus Daleszyce.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 21%
Spartakus Daleszyce Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Spartakus Daleszyce
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Motor Lublin vs Spartakus Daleszyce
3:1
Aug 26, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Motor Lublin
1:3
Apr 25, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Motor Lublin vs Spartakus Daleszyce
5:0
Sep 15, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Motor Lublin
1:3
Mar 26, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Motor Lublin
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 63 / 100
Spartakus Daleszyce 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Spartakus Daleszyce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motor Lublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Motor Lublin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Motor Lublin attacking → ← attacking Spartakus Daleszyce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Spartakus Daleszyce let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Motor Lublin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spartakus Daleszyce lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 19
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1S. Rzeszow342210287:2776
2Podhale Nowy Targ34237463:2776
3Motor Lublin342010462:3470
4Wisla Pulawy34179841:3160
5Hutnik Krakow341571253:4552
6Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341491151:4351
7Sokol Sieniawa341391249:4348
8Avia Swidnik3411111242:4344
9Orleta Radzyn3410131142:5243
10Stal Krasnik3411101346:4743
11Sandomierz341091537:5739
12Chelmianka Chelm341091542:4939
13Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska349111441:3938
14Sola Oswiecim341081637:5138
15Biala Podlaska341051941:6835
16Wislanie Skawina34981745:6535
17Czarni Polaniec34772036:6328
18Spartakus Daleszyce34582134:6523