Sport Picks
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin 
Match Events
52'
52'
Ndiaye M.
Assist: Czubak K.
62'
62'
Sub
Diaz J. In: Sypek J.
Out: Diaz J.
62'
62'
Sub
Kowalczyk S. In: Kolan J.
Out: Kowalczyk S.
AI Match Summary
Motor Lublin in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motor Lublin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Motor Lublin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Zaglebie haven't matched Motor Lublin's recent run of results.
- Motor Lublin are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Motor Lublin have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 19%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motor Lublin | Zaglebie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Motor Lublin
2:2
May 18, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie
1:0
Nov 22, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Motor Lublin
1:2
Oct 19, 2022 Polish Cup
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Zaglebie Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motor Lublin 76 / 100
Zaglebie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motor Lublin Zaglebie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Motor Lublin scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Zaglebie has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Motor Lublin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Motor Lublin VS Zaglebie
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Motor Lublin
(Home) 17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1 Warta Poznan
27 Jun
Motor Lublin
3 : 1 Dinamo Bucuresti
23 May
Legia
4 : 0 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1 Warta Poznan
27 Jun
Motor Lublin
3 : 1 Dinamo Bucuresti
16 May
Motor Lublin
3 : 3 Cracovia
Page 1 of 4
Zaglebie
(Away) 18 Jul
Zaglebie
3 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
17 Jul
Zaglebie
0 : 2 Bohemians 1905
08 Jul
Zaglebie
0 : 2 Ostrava
04 Jul
Zaglebie
2 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
01 Jul
Zaglebie
3 : 2 Podbrezova
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Zaglebie
09 May
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 Zaglebie
17 Apr
Legia
1 : 0 Zaglebie
07 Apr
Arka Gdynia
3 : 1 Zaglebie
20 Mar
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 Zaglebie
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)