Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Marienberg vs Auerbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kampfer P.
19' Event
Hache F.
33' Event
Graf C.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Motor Marienberg and Auerbach finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Motor Marienberg
30%
Draws
47%
Auerbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Auerbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Auerbach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 16%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Marienberg Auerbach
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Auerbach
0:4
Oct 7, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Motor Marienberg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Marienberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Auerbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Kampfer P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hache F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Marienberg 10 / 100
Auerbach 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Marienberg Auerbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Motor Marienberg found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Auerbach has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Motor Marienberg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auerbach
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Marienberg

(Home)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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Auerbach

(Away)
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)