Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Marienberg vs Einheit Wernigerode

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sitzenstock N.
84' Event
Schmidt K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motor Marienberg
35%
Draws
39%
Einheit Wernigerode
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Einheit Wernigerode

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Einheit Wernigerode lately — more wins on the board than Motor Marienberg.
  • Model gives Einheit Wernigerode a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 19%
Einheit Wernigerode Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Marienberg Einheit Wernigerode
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.55
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Einheit Wernigerode
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Motor Marienberg
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Marienberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Einheit Wernigerode Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitzenstock N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Marienberg 16 / 100
Einheit Wernigerode 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Marienberg Einheit Wernigerode

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Einheit Wernigerode Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Einheit Wernigerode let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Motor Marienberg scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Motor Marienberg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Einheit Wernigerode
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Marienberg

(Home)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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Einheit Wernigerode

(Away)
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
29 Aug
Plauen
2 : 2
Einheit Wernigerode
15 Aug
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 1
Halle
07 Aug
Halberstadt
3 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)