Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motril vs Santa Fe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 game between Motril and Santa Fe finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Motril
35%
Draws
37%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of Santa Fe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Motril's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Motril here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Santa Fe
Matches Played 45 34
Wins 25 12
Draws 14 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Santa Fe
1:0
Aug 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Motril
0:2
Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Santa Fe
0:0
Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Motril
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 36 / 100
Santa Fe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Santa Fe let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Motril remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 9

Santa Fe

(Away)
09 May
Santa Fe
2 : 4
Velez
02 May
Almeria B
3 : 3
Santa Fe
18 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 2
Santa Fe
11 Apr
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Loja
04 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
2 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Estepona CF 38 27 6 5 87:36 87
2 Almeria B 38 25 7 6 86:36 82
3 Motril 38 22 12 4 73:38 78
4 Malaga B 38 19 11 8 66:31 68
5 CD Baza 38 18 11 9 57:33 65
6 Comarca 38 18 6 14 51:41 60
7 Ejido 2 38 16 9 13 58:47 57
8 Velez 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
9 Loja 38 14 8 16 29:40 50
10 Granada Atletico Club de Futbol 38 14 7 17 44:52 49
11 Ciudad de Vicar 38 13 9 16 58:60 48
12 CD Ronda 38 13 9 16 51:55 48
13 CD Alhaurino 38 12 10 16 57:59 46
14 Arenas Armilla 38 10 14 14 41:44 44
15 Santa Fe 38 12 7 19 51:67 43
16 Adra 38 11 9 18 40:65 42
17 Vera CD 38 12 5 21 35:61 41
18 CP Granada 74 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
19 CD Imperio de Albolote 38 8 4 26 28:77 28
20 Melilla B 38 7 5 26 27:86 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)