Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Perotti F.
72'
72'
Lopez C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Motril and Torre del Mar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Torre del Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Torre del Mar a 35% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Motril Clean Sheet 24%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Torre del Mar
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Motril
2:1
Jan 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Torre del Mar
0:4
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Torre del Mar
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Motril
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Torre del Mar Compare
Top Goalscorer Perotti F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motril 25 / 100
Torre del Mar 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motril Torre del Mar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Motril scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Motril remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Torre del Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Motril VS Torre del Mar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Motril
(Home) 20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 3
Torre del Mar
(Away) 20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
17 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
12 Apr
UD San Pedro
0 : 0 Torre del Mar
28 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 0 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Almeria B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | UD San Pedro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico de Porcuna | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Motril | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 8 | Malaga B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Granada CF B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Torre del Mar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 11 | CD Alhaurino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico de Marbella | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Churriana de la Vega | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Cantoria | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Mancha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 17 | Huetor Vega | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
