Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 Honneur Stadium, Oujda
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mouloudia Oujda host Chabab Benguerir in the Botola 2. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Mouloudia Oujda at 1.14 goals for, 1.34 against; Chabab Benguerir at 0.94 for, 0.81 against. Head-to-head, Mouloudia Oujda have won 0 to Chabab Benguerir's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.13) point toward Chabab Benguerir. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mouloudia Oujda
35%
Draws
32%
Chabab Benguerir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chabab Benguerir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mouloudia Oujda are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 20%
Chabab Benguerir Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouloudia Oujda Chabab Benguerir
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 13 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.14 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Mouloudia Oujda
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Mouloudia Oujda
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Excellence Cup
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouloudia Oujda 36 / 100
Chabab Benguerir 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouloudia Oujda Chabab Benguerir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Mouloudia Oujda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Chabab Benguerir conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mouloudia Oujda VS Chabab Benguerir
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouloudia Oujda

(Home)
03 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
Dcheira
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 6

Chabab Benguerir

(Away)
04 Oct
Olympique de Safi
1 : 0
Chabab Benguerir
27 Sept
Chabab Benguerir
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
27 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0
US Boujaad
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Fes 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Yacoub El Mansour 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Ittihad Khemisset 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 USM Oujda 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Jeunesse Massira 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Olympique de Safi 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Olympique Khouribga 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
8 Chabab Benguerir 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Dcheira 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
12 US Boujaad 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 Stade Marocain 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 KAC Kenitra 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
15 Chabab Mohammedia 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
16 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)