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Mouna vs San Pedro

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Mouna and San Pedro finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mouna
33%
Draws
27%
San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mouna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Pedro haven't matched Mouna's recent run of results.
  • Mouna are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mouna Clean Sheet 20%
San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouna San Pedro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
San Pedro vs Mouna
3:1
Dec 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs San Pedro
2:3
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs San Pedro
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Ligue 1
San Pedro vs Mouna
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Ligue 1
San Pedro vs Mouna
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouna 40 / 100
San Pedro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouna San Pedro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Mouna found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: San Pedro conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Mouna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mouna VS San Pedro
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASEC Mimosas30195650:2162
2San Pedro301410643:3252
3Academie de FAD30148840:2450
4Mouna301461042:3048
5Tchologo30129929:2945
6Stade d'Abidjan301271130:2843
7Stella Adjame301191028:2842
8SOL301231533:4639
9Korhogo301081231:3238
10Bouake309111024:2538
11SO Armee309101123:2337
12ISCA301061416:2736
13Agboville308101220:3034
14Zoman30891320:3233
15Olympique Sport30881427:4032
16Racing d'Abidjan30691524:3327