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Mouna vs Tchologo

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tchologo in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tchologo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mouna
30%
Draws
43%
Tchologo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tchologo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mouna lately — more wins on the board than Tchologo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mouna Clean Sheet 68%
Tchologo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouna Tchologo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Tchologo
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Ligue 1
Tchologo vs Mouna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouna 42 / 100
Tchologo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouna Tchologo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouna found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Mouna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tchologo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mouna VS Tchologo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouna

(Home)
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
05 May
Zoman
1 : 3
Mouna
26 Apr
Mouna
0 : 1
Academie de FAD
Page 1 of 6

Tchologo

(Away)
24 May
Agboville
0 : 0
Tchologo
18 May
Tchologo
0 : 0
SO Armee
10 May
Tchologo
2 : 1
Bouake
03 May
Korhogo
0 : 3
Tchologo
26 Apr
Tchologo
2 : 1
Stade d'Abidjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASEC Mimosas 30 19 5 6 50:21 62
2 San Pedro 30 14 10 6 43:32 52
3 Academie de FAD 30 14 8 8 40:24 50
4 Mouna 30 14 6 10 42:30 48
5 Tchologo 30 12 9 9 29:29 45
6 Stade d'Abidjan 30 12 7 11 30:28 43
7 Stella Adjame 30 11 9 10 28:28 42
8 SOL 30 12 3 15 33:46 39
9 Korhogo 30 10 8 12 31:32 38
10 Bouake 30 9 11 10 24:25 38
11 SO Armee 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
12 ISCA 30 10 6 14 16:27 36
13 Agboville 30 8 10 12 20:30 34
14 Zoman 30 8 9 13 20:32 33
15 Olympique Sport 30 8 8 14 27:40 32
16 Racing d'Abidjan 30 6 9 15 24:33 27
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)