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Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Fuller N.
41'
Tekyi A.
48'
Laing J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mount Pleasant
30%
Draws
23%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant have won more games recently than Cavalier.
  • Win probability leans Mount Pleasant's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Mount Pleasant have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mount Pleasant, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mount Pleasant have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 20%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Cavalier
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
1:1
Sep 17, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
1:3
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuller N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cavalier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 58 / 100
Cavalier 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mount Pleasant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Mount Pleasant has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cavalier has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Cavalier
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
22 Oct
Mount Pleasant
2 : 0
Sando
15 Oct
Sando
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
Page 1 of 7

Cavalier

(Away)
19 Oct
Molynes United
1 : 0
Cavalier
11 Oct
Cavalier
1 : 3
Montego Bay
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Violette 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
2 Sando 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
3 Delfines Del Este 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Defence Force 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
5 Broki 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
2 Portmore 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
3 Salcedo 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 Cibao 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
5 Cavalier 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Play Offs)