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Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Reid A.
19' Event
Reid T.
(Penalty)
90'
Watson S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mount Pleasant
20%
Draws
40%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant have won more games recently than Cavalier.
  • Mount Pleasant are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mount Pleasant here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 20%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Cavalier
Matches Played 43 36
Wins 23 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
1:1
Sep 17, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
1:3
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 36 / 100
Cavalier 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mount Pleasant scored in 76% of their last 42 outings.

Cavalier's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mount Pleasant has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Cavalier
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 9

Cavalier

(Away)
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
2 Waterhouse 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)