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Mount Pleasant vs Real Hope Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 Draxhall Sports Complex, Runaway Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Angelo E.
54'
Sub
Nelson N. In: Bailey Travolta K. E.
Out: Nelson N.
54'
Sub
Bradford S. In: Edwards R.
Out: Bradford S.

AI Match Summary

Real Hope in this CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Mount Pleasant
15%
Draws
37%
Real Hope
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant have won more games recently than Real Hope.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mount Pleasant taking it.
  • Mount Pleasant have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Hope, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 19%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Real Hope
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Mount Pleasant vs Real Hope
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Real Hope Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 36 / 100
Real Hope 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Real Hope

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mount Pleasant remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Real Hope has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 6

Real Hope

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalier 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Real Hope 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Police 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
4 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
5 Arnett Gardens 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Moca 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 AC Port Of Spain 4 0 2 2 6:8 2
4 Grenades 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
5 Ouanaminthe 4 0 2 2 5:10 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 (Play Offs)