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Mount Pleasant vs Sando - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup Sabina Park, Kingston
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mount Pleasant have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Sando's 2.03 scored and 0.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Mount Pleasant slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.92, favoring Sando. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mount Pleasant
35%
Draws
32%
Sando
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sando lately — more wins on the board than Mount Pleasant.
  • Model gives Mount Pleasant a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Sando arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 20%
Sando Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Sando
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Sando vs Mount Pleasant
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 42 / 100
Sando 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Sando

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mount Pleasant went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sando conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Sando
1 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
15 Oct
Sando
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
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Sando

(Away)
15 Oct
Sando
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
15 Sept
Violette
1 : 0
Sando
08 Sept
Sando
0 : 0
Delfines Del Este
01 Sept
Defence Force
0 : 2
Sando
06 Aug
Sando
2 : 1
Broki
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Violette 1
Portmore 3
Mount Pleasant 1
Sando 1
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -