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Mount Pleasant vs Spanish Town Police

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Draxhall Sports Complex, Runaway Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Edwards R.
69' Event
Edwards R.
79' Event
Smith D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Mount Pleasant and Spanish Town Police finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mount Pleasant
6%
Draws
4%
Spanish Town Police
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spanish Town Police haven't matched Mount Pleasant's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mount Pleasant a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mount Pleasant have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 68%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Spanish Town Police
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.25 0.29
Goals Conceded 1 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Mount Pleasant
1:0
Mar 27, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Spanish Town Police
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Spanish Town Police
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Spanish Town Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 95 / 100
Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Spanish Town Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spanish Town Police let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Spanish Town Police registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mount Pleasant scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Spanish Town Police
2.25 Goals Scored 0.29
1 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
20 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 4
Portmore
18 May
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
03 May
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 5
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 7

Spanish Town Police

(Away)
06 May
Spanish Town Police
0 : 4
Racing United
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
23 Apr
Spanish Town Police
0 : 1
Portmore
20 Apr
Cavalier
3 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)