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Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Graham M.
53' Event
Brown W.
70' Event
Fuller N.

AI Match Summary

Mount Pleasant in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Mount Pleasant
20%
Draws
19%
Tivoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mount Pleasant lately — more wins on the board than Tivoli.
  • Mount Pleasant are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 16%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Tivoli
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 24 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Mount Pleasant
1:1
Dec 11, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
5:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuller N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 48 / 100
Tivoli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Tivoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mount Pleasant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Mount Pleasant has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Tivoli conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Tivoli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
08 Nov
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Tivoli
06 Nov
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
02 Nov
Molynes United
1 : 2
Mount Pleasant
27 Oct
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
22 Oct
Mount Pleasant
2 : 0
Sando
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Tivoli

(Away)
08 Nov
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Tivoli
01 Nov
Tivoli
1 : 1
Arnett Gardens
25 Oct
Cavalier
2 : 1
Tivoli
18 Oct
Tivoli
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
12 Oct
Tivoli
3 : 4
Racing United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tru-Juice FC 9 6 2 1 18:4 20
2 Waterhouse 9 5 3 1 19:4 18
3 Racing United 9 5 2 2 19:11 17
4 Montego Bay 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
5 Mount Pleasant 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
6 Arnett Gardens 9 3 4 2 17:12 13
7 Tivoli 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
8 Portmore 7 2 4 1 11:7 10
9 Cavalier 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 Chapelton 9 2 4 3 4:11 10
11 FC Dunbeholden 9 2 1 6 6:14 7
12 Molynes United 9 2 1 6 9:20 7
13 Treasure Beach 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
14 Humble Lions 8 0 2 6 3:22 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)