Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moura AC vs Almodovar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Moura AC Logo

Moura AC

5 - 0
FT
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 game between Moura AC and Almodovar finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moura AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Moura AC
15%
Draws
36%
Almodovar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moura AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moura AC come out ahead of Almodovar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moura AC a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moura AC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 17%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moura AC Almodovar
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.18 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Almodovar
5:0
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Moura AC
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Moura AC
0:0
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Almodovar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moura AC 84 / 100
Almodovar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moura AC Almodovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moura AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almodovar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Moura AC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (39 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Almodovar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moura AC VS Almodovar
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Moura AC

(Home)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 8

Almodovar

(Away)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moura AC 14 8 4 2 26:11 44
2 Louletano 14 7 5 2 22:12 37
3 Uniao Montemor 14 6 7 1 21:14 37
4 CDR Quarteirense 14 6 5 3 25:16 35
5 Cova De Piedade 14 5 3 6 23:25 31
6 FC Barreirense 14 4 6 4 16:17 28
7 Esperanca de Lagos 14 2 3 9 10:28 15
8 Almodovar 14 0 3 11 10:30 10
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)