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Moura AC vs FC Barreirense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Sun, Jan 12, 2025
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Desembargador G.
48' Event
Peterson

AI Match Summary

Moura AC host FC Barreirense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Moura AC at 0.88 goals for, 1.63 against; FC Barreirense at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Moura AC have won 2 to FC Barreirense's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 12, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.56, favoring Moura AC. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Moura AC
30%
Draws
34%
FC Barreirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moura AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moura AC lately — more wins on the board than FC Barreirense.
  • Moura AC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 15%
FC Barreirense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moura AC FC Barreirense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs FC Barreirense
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Barreirense vs Moura AC
0:1
Apr 9, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
FC Barreirense vs Moura AC
1:1
Feb 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Moura AC vs FC Barreirense
0:0
Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs FC Barreirense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moura AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Peterson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Barreirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Desembargador G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moura AC 35 / 100
FC Barreirense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moura AC FC Barreirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Barreirense let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Moura AC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Solid form: Moura AC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moura AC VS FC Barreirense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusitano GC26184457:1458
2Amora26176341:1957
3Sintrense26164639:2652
4Moncarapachense26156539:1951
5Louletano26155644:2050
6Serpa26136742:2745
7Estrela da Amadora B26791035:3130
8Lagoa26791026:3530
9Industria26851335:4229
10Fabril do Barreiro26691121:3227
11Moura AC26751427:5026
12Operario26651522:4323
13FC Barreirense26571431:4722
14Estrela Vendas Novas26122312:665