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Moutier vs Grenchen

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
88' Event
89' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Grenchen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Moutier
15%
Draws
42%
Grenchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moutier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Grenchen have managed 0.81 goals a game lately — Moutier are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Moutier are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Grenchen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Moutier Clean Sheet 19%
Grenchen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moutier Grenchen
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.5 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.6 5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2012 Swiss Cup
Moutier vs Grenchen
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moutier 85 / 100
Grenchen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moutier Grenchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moutier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenchen let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Moutier scored in 60% of their last 10 outings.

Grenchen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moutier VS Grenchen
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 6.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moutier

(Home)
09 Mar
Helsingborg
2 : 0
Moutier
16 Sept
Moutier
1 : 3
Thun
18 Aug
AC Malcantone
0 : 2
Moutier
13 Aug
Moutier
0 : 3
Lugano
15 Sept
Moutier
0 : 4
Grenchen
Page 1 of 2

Grenchen

(Away)
16 Aug
Courrendlin-Courroux
0 : 1
Grenchen
11 Feb
Breitenrain
5 : 2
Grenchen
13 Aug
Grenchen
0 : 2
Iliria
30 May
FC Bern
5 : 0
Grenchen
23 May
Grenchen
0 : 10
Cham
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sion 1
Richemond 0
Colombier 2
Hergiswil 4
FC Schonbuhl 2
FC Aarberg 1
Langenthal 1
Kriens 3
Bruhl SG 4
Monthey 2
FC Saxon-Sports 2
La Sarraz-Eclepens 3
Delemont 2
Luzern 1
FC Hochdorf 0
Lausanne 4
Thun 4
SC Dudingen 3
FC Olten 0
Lugano 4
Grenchen 4
Moutier 0
Etoile-Carouge 1
Wohlen 2
Locarno 3
Thierrens 2
Servette 1
Cham 2
Chiasso 3
FC Arlesheim 1
FC Amriswil 1
Basel 6
Zurich 6
Echallens 0
Ibach 1
Black Stars 2
Winterthur 1
Eschenbach 0
Tuggen 1
Koniz 3
Young Boys 5
Wettswil-Bonstetten 1
Linth 2
Muttenz 3
Schotz 3
Zofingen 1
FC Windisch 0
Wil 7
Aarau 4
Pully 1
Ems 0
Bellinzona 5
Biel 4
Le Mont 1
Altstatten 0
St. Gallen 7
Schaffhausen 5
CS Italien 1
Diessenhofen 0
Baden 5
Vallemaggia 3
Bumpliz 1
Vedeggio 0
Grasshoppers 5
1/16-finals
Sion 3
Hergiswil 0
FC Schonbuhl 0
Kriens 4
Bruhl SG 3
La Sarraz-Eclepens 0
Delemont 0
Lausanne 4
Thun 2
Lugano 0
Grenchen 0
Wohlen 4
Locarno 3
Cham 2
Chiasso 1
Basel 4
Zurich 3
Black Stars 1
Winterthur 2
Koniz 3
Young Boys 5
Muttenz 1
Schotz 1
Wil 4
Aarau 2
Bellinzona 0
Biel 0
St. Gallen 3
Schaffhausen 5
Baden 0
Vallemaggia 0
Grasshoppers 6
1/8-finals
Sion 4
Kriens 0
Bruhl SG 1
Lausanne 3
Thun 2
Wohlen 1
Locarno 2
Basel 3
Zurich 5
Koniz 1
Young Boys 3
Wil 4
Aarau 2
St. Gallen 0
Schaffhausen 1
Grasshoppers 2
Quarter-finals
Sion 2
Lausanne 0
Thun 1
Basel 2
Zurich 4
Wil 2
Aarau 1
Grasshoppers 4
Semi-finals
Sion 0
Basel 1
Zurich 1
Grasshoppers 2
Final
Basel 1
Grasshoppers 2