Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mouzaia vs USM Setif Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2009/2010
Mouzaia Logo

Mouzaia

2 - 0
FT
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Mouzaia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mouzaia
15%
Draws
42%
USM Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mouzaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Setif come out ahead of Mouzaia on wins alone.
  • USM Setif are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • USM Setif arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mouzaia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mouzaia Clean Sheet 10%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouzaia USM Setif
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 25, 2009 Algeria Cup
Mouzaia vs USM Setif
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouzaia 26 / 100
USM Setif 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouzaia USM Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Setif Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouzaia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

USM Setif's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: USM Setif has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mouzaia VS USM Setif
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouzaia

(Home)
07 Dec
Mouzaia
1 : 4
Amal Bou Saada
28 Dec
Ain Beida
5 : 1
Mouzaia
14 Dec
Mouzaia
2 : 0
Bouakeul
19 Feb
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
Mouzaia
25 Dec
Mouzaia
2 : 0
USM Setif

USM Setif

(Away)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tlemcen 4
Ain Sefra 0
WR Bentalha 1
Magra 0
ES Setif 8
Doucen 1
Saida 3
Skikda 0
Mohammadia SA 0
Hai El Djabel 2
IR Ouled Nail 3
Khenchela 5
Maghnia 0
Bel Abbes 1
Cheraga 1
WM Tebessa 0
Rouisset 0
Hussein Dey 1
ASO Chlef 7
Guelma 0
Ghozlane 2
Khroub 1
MO Bejaia 4
Remchi 3
WA Mostaganem 3
CRB Sfisef 1
Mouzaia 2
USM Setif 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
Bougtob 0
Hamra Annaba 3
NRB Grarem 0
Hamma Loulou 1
MO Constantine 0
CA Batna 2
USB Hassi 0
USM Blida 4
MB Constantine 1
Bejaia 6
Harrach 2
Merouana 0
US Chaouia 1
USM Alger 4
Oran 1
SC Ain Merane 2
Mekhadma 1
MC Alger 5
JSM Tiaret 2
CRB Froha 0
Annaba 3
Sig 0
Eulma 5
Bordj Bou Arreridj 8
CRB Heliopolis 1
Mostaganem 1
MSP Batna 0
JS Djijel 2
CRB Bordj El Kiffan 1
SC Ain Defla 0
CR Belouizdad 2
USMM Hadjout 1
Kabylie 2
ASA Prot. Civil 3
Ouargla 0
1/16-finals
Tlemcen 3
WR Bentalha 1
ES Setif 1
Saida 0
Hai El Djabel 1
Khenchela 2
Bel Abbes 2
Cheraga 1
Hussein Dey 2
ASO Chlef 3
Ghozlane 1
MO Bejaia 0
WA Mostaganem 1
Mouzaia 0
ISC Tlemcen 2
Hamra Annaba 1
Hamma Loulou 1
CA Batna 2
USM Blida 3
Bejaia 2
US Chaouia 1
USM Alger 3
SC Ain Merane 0
MC Alger 1
Annaba 1
Eulma 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 4
Mostaganem 2
JS Djijel 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Kabylie 4
ASA Prot. Civil 0
1/8-finals
Tlemcen 1
ES Setif 2
Khenchela 1
Bel Abbes 3
ASO Chlef 1
Ghozlane 0
WA Mostaganem 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
CA Batna 1
USM Blida 0
USM Alger 0
MC Alger 3
Annaba 3
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Kabylie 1
Quarter-finals
ES Setif 1
Bel Abbes 0
ASO Chlef 1
ISC Tlemcen 0
CA Batna 1
MC Alger 0
Annaba 0
Kabylie 1
Semi-finals
ES Setif 3
ASO Chlef 1
CA Batna 1
Kabylie 0
Final
ES Setif 3
CA Batna 0