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Moyale Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Maganga B.
45' Event
Mkandawire L.
73'
Singini L.

AI Match Summary

Moyale Barracks in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moyale Barracks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Moyale Barracks
35%
Draws
37%
Mitundu Baptist
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mitundu Baptist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Moyale Barracks have won more games recently than Mitundu Baptist.
  • Win probability leans Moyale Barracks's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Moyale Barracks Clean Sheet 20%
Mitundu Baptist Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyale Barracks Mitundu Baptist
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.07 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moyale Barracks Compare

Top Goalscorer Maganga B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mkandawire L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mitundu Baptist Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyale Barracks 36 / 100
Mitundu Baptist 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyale Barracks Mitundu Baptist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyale Barracks's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mitundu Baptist's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Moyale Barracks remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moyale Barracks VS Mitundu Baptist
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyale Barracks

(Home)
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Kamuzu Barracks
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
08 Aug
Moyale Barracks
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
18 Jul
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Masters FC
Page 1 of 6

Mitundu Baptist

(Away)
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Big Bullets
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Mitundu Baptist
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
18 Jul
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Mitundu Baptist
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 14 8 5 1 23:5 29
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 14 8 5 1 26:9 29
3 Blue Eagles 14 9 1 4 22:15 28
4 Big Bullets 14 7 6 1 15:7 27
5 Masters FC 14 6 3 5 17:16 21
6 Chitipa United 14 6 2 6 11:16 20
7 Red Lions 14 5 4 5 12:13 19
8 Mitundu Baptist 14 5 4 5 12:13 19
9 Moyale Barracks 14 4 6 4 14:16 18
10 Ekhaya 14 4 5 5 15:14 17
11 Civo Utd 14 5 2 7 9:14 17
12 Dedza Dynamos 14 3 5 6 9:19 14
13 MAFCO 14 3 4 7 11:15 13
14 Karonga United 14 3 4 7 14:23 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 14 3 3 8 15:21 12
16 Creck Sporting 14 2 3 9 11:20 9
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)