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Mozambique U23 vs Ghana U23

Africa Africa

African Games 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mozambique U23 play Ghana U23 in the African Games 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mozambique U23 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Ghana U23 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Mozambique U23 won 0, Ghana U23 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 30, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Mozambique U23 and 1.38 for Ghana U23. This points to a Ghana U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mozambique U23
18%
Draws
55%
Ghana U23
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ghana U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Mozambique U23 picked up more points recently compared to Ghana U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Mozambique U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Ghana U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U23 Ghana U23
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ghana U23 vs Mozambique U23
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mozambique U23 vs Ghana U23
1:2
Sep 10, 2011 African Games
Mozambique U23 vs Ghana U23
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U23 28 / 100
Ghana U23 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U23 Ghana U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghana U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ghana U23 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mozambique U23 attacking → ← attacking Ghana U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique U23 scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Ghana U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mozambique U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ghana U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 41
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1South Africa U2322004:16
2Ghana U2321014:43
3Mozambique U2320024:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cameroon U2321101:04
2Senegal U2321012:23
3Uganda U2320111:21