Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique vs Mauritius

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium, Bloemfontein
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Abdala K.
41'
Brasse F.
63'
Sub
Arthee A. In: Aristide Y.
Out: Arthee A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Mozambique
20%
Draws
32%
Mauritius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mozambique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mozambique carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mozambique, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mozambique have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%
Mauritius Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique Mauritius
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 COSAFA Cup
Mozambique vs Mauritius
0:0
Jul 12, 2023 COSAFA Cup
Mauritius vs Mozambique
0:1
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Mozambique vs Mauritius
2:0
Sep 4, 2019 World Championship
Mauritius vs Mozambique
0:1
Sep 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique vs Mauritius
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique 42 / 100
Mauritius 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique Mauritius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Mauritius conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Away concern: Mauritius has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique VS Mauritius
0.88 Goals Scored 0.17
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
Page 1 of 7

Mauritius

(Away)
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
08 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 2
Cameroon
09 Sept
Angola
3 : 1
Mauritius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
2 Zimbabwe 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Mozambique 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mauritius 3 0 3 0 0:0 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Namibia 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Lesotho 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Malawi 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madagascar 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Tanzania 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eswatini 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 Zambia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)