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Mpam vs Akrites Sykeon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 game between Mpam and Akrites Sykeon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mpam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mpam
25%
Draws
35%
Akrites Sykeon
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mpam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Akrites Sykeon come out ahead of Mpam on wins alone.
  • Mpam are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mpam Clean Sheet 20%
Akrites Sykeon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mpam Akrites Sykeon
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 0 12
Goals Scored 2 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Mpam vs Akrites Sykeon
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mpam 58 / 100
Akrites Sykeon 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mpam Akrites Sykeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mpam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mpam found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (2 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Akrites Sykeon conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Akrites Sykeon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mpam VS Akrites Sykeon
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mpam

(Home)
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Panedessaikos
1 : 1
Mpam

Akrites Sykeon

(Away)
03 Oct
Akrites Sykeon
0 : 2
Poseidonas Michanionas
26 Sept
Makedonikos Neapolis
0 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
08 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Akrites Sykeon
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Akrites Sykeon
1 : 4
Kozani FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Finikas Polichnis 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Iraklis Thermaikou 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mpam 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Akrites Sykeon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Makedonikos Neapolis 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Agiou Nikolaou 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Panedessaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
9 AE Polykastro 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Kilkisiakos 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
11 PAOK Kristonis 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Losers stage)