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Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mpam host Makedonikos Neapolis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. This has Mpam written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Mpam at 2.33 goals for, 1 against; Makedonikos Neapolis at 0.72 for, 2.1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.75 - 0.75) back Mpam to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Mpam
15%
Draws
17%
Makedonikos Neapolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mpam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Mpam haven't matched Makedonikos Neapolis's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Mpam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mpam Clean Sheet 20%
Makedonikos Neapolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mpam Makedonikos Neapolis
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 0 21
Goals Scored 2.33 0.72
Goals Conceded 1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mpam 85 / 100
Makedonikos Neapolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mpam Makedonikos Neapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mpam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mpam scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Defensive concern: Makedonikos Neapolis conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Mpam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Makedonikos Neapolis's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mpam VS Makedonikos Neapolis
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mpam

(Home)
11 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
Akrites Sykeon
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Panedessaikos
1 : 1
Mpam

Makedonikos Neapolis

(Away)
11 Oct
Finikas Polichnis
2 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
03 Oct
Kilkisiakos
0 : 2
Makedonikos Neapolis
26 Sept
Makedonikos Neapolis
0 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
26 Apr
PAOK B
3 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Finikas Polichnis 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
3 Mpam 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 Agiou Nikolaou 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Akrites Sykeon 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
7 Makedonikos Neapolis 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
8 Panedessaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
9 PAOK Kristonis 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 AE Polykastro 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 Kilkisiakos 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Losers stage)