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Mpam vs PAOK Kristonis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Mpam Logo

Mpam

3 - 1
FT
PAOK Kristonis Logo

PAOK Kristonis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mpam in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mpam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Mpam
25%
Draws
19%
PAOK Kristonis
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mpam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Mpam haven't matched PAOK Kristonis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mpam's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mpam Clean Sheet 20%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mpam PAOK Kristonis
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 9
Losses 0 12
Goals Scored 2.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Mpam vs PAOK Kristonis
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mpam 85 / 100
PAOK Kristonis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mpam PAOK Kristonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mpam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mpam scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

PAOK Kristonis let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Mpam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mpam VS PAOK Kristonis
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mpam

(Home)
11 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
Akrites Sykeon
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Panedessaikos
1 : 1
Mpam

PAOK Kristonis

(Away)
11 Oct
PAOK Kristonis
0 : 0
Iraklis Thermaikou
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Poseidonas Michanionas
5 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 1
Orestis Orestiadas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Finikas Polichnis 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
3 Mpam 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 Agiou Nikolaou 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Akrites Sykeon 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
7 Makedonikos Neapolis 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
8 Panedessaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
9 PAOK Kristonis 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 AE Polykastro 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 Kilkisiakos 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Losers stage)