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MPS vs Malmin Ponnistajat Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen South 2001
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen South 2001 game between MPS and Malmin Ponnistajat finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmin Ponnistajat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
MPS
15%
Draws
36%
Malmin Ponnistajat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Malmin Ponnistajat have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — MPS are scoring more at 1.15.
  • Win probability leans MPS's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
MPS Clean Sheet 17%
Malmin Ponnistajat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS Malmin Ponnistajat
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.15 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2001 Kakkonen South
MPS vs Malmin Ponnistajat
0:4
May 30, 2001 Kakkonen South
Malmin Ponnistajat vs MPS
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS 39 / 100
Malmin Ponnistajat 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS Malmin Ponnistajat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmin Ponnistajat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: MPS scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Malmin Ponnistajat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MPS VS Malmin Ponnistajat
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
2 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

MPS

(Home)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
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Malmin Ponnistajat

(Away)
16 Apr
Malmin Ponnistajat
0 : 4
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
17 May
HooGee
2 : 0
Malmin Ponnistajat
07 May
ToBK
1 : 2
Malmin Ponnistajat
10 May
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 2
Poxyt
14 Sept
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 2
Honka
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viikingit 22 15 5 2 56:19 50
2 Helsingin 22 12 4 6 41:27 40
3 LePa 22 10 6 6 41:24 36
4 Mariehamn 22 10 4 8 48:37 34
5 KaPa 22 9 4 9 42:35 31
6 Malmin Ponnistajat 22 9 4 9 37:43 31
7 Kiffen 22 8 6 8 25:27 30
8 Lahden Tyovaen Palloilijat 22 8 3 11 29:45 27
9 Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 22 8 3 11 32:49 27
10 Nurmijarven Nateva 22 6 6 10 29:43 24
11 MPS 22 7 1 14 31:53 22
12 JaPS 22 6 2 14 37:46 20
Promotion - Ykkonen 2002 (Main)
Promotion - Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs 2001 (Main)