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MS Tira vs Ironi Nesher Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MS Tira host Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef North. Little to choose between these two on current form. MS Tira have averaged 1.86 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Ironi Nesher's 1.8 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, MS Tira have won 2 to Ironi Nesher's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 0.94, favoring MS Tira. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
MS Tira
30%
Draws
38%
Ironi Nesher
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ironi Nesher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ironi Nesher haven't matched MS Tira's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Ironi Nesher taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
MS Tira Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Tira Ironi Nesher
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.86 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs Ironi Nesher
0:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs MS Tira
2:3
Apr 1, 2025 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Dec 30, 2024 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs MS Tira
1:0
Apr 4, 2024 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs Ironi Nesher
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Tira 16 / 100
Ironi Nesher 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Tira Ironi Nesher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ironi Nesher Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ironi Nesher conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

MS Tira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

MS Tira scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

MS Tira VS Ironi Nesher
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Tira

(Home)
30 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
2 : 3
MS Tira
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
1 : 1
MS Tira
10 Sept
MS Tira
4 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
04 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 1
MS Tira
Page 1 of 5

Ironi Nesher

(Away)
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
04 Sept
Ironi Nesher
6 : 1
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ironi Nesher 5 4 1 0 18:4 13
2 Beitar Nahariya 5 4 0 1 9:5 12
3 MS Tira 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
4 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 5 3 1 1 14:7 10
5 Hapoel Karmiel 5 2 3 0 8:3 9
6 Nof Hagalil 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
7 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 4 1 3 0 7:6 6
8 FC Tzeirey Tamra 5 2 0 3 7:14 6
9 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
10 Ironi Baka 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
11 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
12 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
14 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
15 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
16 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
17 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 4 0 3 1 2:6 3
18 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 5 0 1 4 2:14 1
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