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MS Tira vs Maccabi Maalot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: MS Tira at 1.68 goals for, 0.84 against; Maccabi Maalot at 2.11 for, 2.33 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.79 - 0.69) back Maccabi Maalot to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
MS Tira
20%
Draws
28%
Maccabi Maalot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MS Tira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MS Tira come out ahead of Maccabi Maalot on wins alone.
  • MS Tira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • MS Tira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
MS Tira Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Maalot Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Tira Maccabi Maalot
Matches Played 19 9
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 0
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.68 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Tira 85 / 100
Maccabi Maalot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Tira Maccabi Maalot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MS Tira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Maalot let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Solid form: MS Tira remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: MS Tira scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Away concern: Maccabi Maalot has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MS Tira VS Maccabi Maalot
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Tira

(Home)
08 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 1
Ironi Nesher
30 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
2 : 3
MS Tira
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
1 : 1
MS Tira
10 Sept
MS Tira
4 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 4

Maccabi Maalot

(Away)
22 Dec
Beitar Kfar-Saba
3 : 2
Maccabi Maalot
29 Jan
Hapoel Afula
3 : 0
Maccabi Maalot
13 Jan
Holon Yaniv
1 : 4
Maccabi Maalot
23 Dec
Ironi Baka
1 : 3
Maccabi Maalot
25 Mar
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8 : 0
Maccabi Maalot
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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