Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Bouzidi A.
90'
90'
Attia A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Msaken and EM Mahdia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Msaken.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EM Mahdia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- EM Mahdia haven't matched Msaken's recent run of results.
- EM Mahdia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Msaken here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Msaken Clean Sheet 29%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Msaken | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs EM Mahdia
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Msaken
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Msaken
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Ligue 2
Msaken vs EM Mahdia
1:0
Apr 1, 2023 Ligue 2
Msaken vs EM Mahdia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Msaken Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouzidi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Attia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
EM Mahdia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Msaken 30 / 100
EM Mahdia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Msaken EM Mahdia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EM Mahdia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Msaken's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
EM Mahdia has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
EM Mahdia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Msaken VS EM Mahdia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Msaken
(Home) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
05 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
22 Mar
Msaken
4 : 1 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 4
EM Mahdia
(Away) 10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1 US Tataouine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
Ajim Djerba
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Feb
Msaken
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
