Sport Picks

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Msaken vs US Tataouine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Laaouani W.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Msaken and US Tataouine finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Tataouine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Msaken
15%
Draws
76%
US Tataouine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Tataouine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Msaken haven't matched US Tataouine's recent run of results.
  • US Tataouine are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Msaken Clean Sheet 23%
US Tataouine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Msaken US Tataouine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Msaken vs US Tataouine
3:2
Jan 25, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs US Tataouine
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Ligue 2
US Tataouine vs Msaken
1:0
Nov 28, 2015 Tunisia Cup
US Tataouine vs Msaken
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Msaken Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

US Tataouine Compare

Top Goalscorer Laaouani W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Msaken 24 / 100
US Tataouine 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Msaken US Tataouine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Tataouine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Msaken's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

US Tataouine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Msaken stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Msaken VS US Tataouine
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Msaken

(Home)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

US Tataouine

(Away)
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1
US Tataouine
22 Apr
US Tataouine
1 : 2
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)