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Msida vs Luqa

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Msida Logo

Msida

0 - 1
FT
Luqa Logo

Luqa

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Sanchez Gonzalez C. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luqa in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luqa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Msida
35%
Draws
32%
Luqa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luqa lately — more wins on the board than Msida.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Luqa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Msida Clean Sheet 10%
Luqa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Msida Luqa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Challenge League
Luqa vs Msida
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Challenge League
Msida vs Luqa
0:1
Sep 9, 2016 FA Trophy
Msida vs Luqa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Msida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Luqa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Gonzalez C. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Msida 30 / 100
Luqa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Msida Luqa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luqa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Luqa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Msida scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Msida VS Luqa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Msida

(Home)
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1
Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2
Fgura
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 1
Msida
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3
St. Andrews
17 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0
Msida
Page 1 of 6

Luqa

(Away)
05 May
St. Andrews
1 : 0
Luqa
28 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3
Luqa
21 Apr
Luqa
2 : 2
St. Andrews
14 Apr
Zebbug
4 : 0
Luqa
06 Apr
Luqa
0 : 4
Swieqi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)