Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Schembri N.
26'
26'
Ebisindor C.
65'
65'
Mifsud J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Mgarr advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mgarr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mgarr come out ahead of Msida on wins alone.
- Mgarr are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Mgarr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mgarr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Msida Clean Sheet 16%
Mgarr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Msida | Mgarr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 25 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2024 FA Trophy
Msida vs Mgarr
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Msida Compare
Top Goalscorer Mifsud J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Mgarr Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebisindor C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Schembri N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Msida 23 / 100
Mgarr 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Msida Mgarr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mgarr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Mgarr conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.
Mgarr's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Msida's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mgarr
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Msida
(Home) 26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1 Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2 Fgura
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 1 Msida
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3 St. Andrews
17 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0 Msida
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1 Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2 Fgura
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3 St. Andrews
10 Mar
Msida
2 : 3 Swieqi
17 Feb
Msida
0 : 2 Lija
Page 1 of 3
Mgarr
(Away) 19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2 Mgarr
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3 Tarxien
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2 Gudja
06 Apr
Mgarr
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2 Mgarr
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2 Mgarr
28 Feb
Marsa
1 : 2 Mgarr
14 Feb
Gudja
0 : 0 Mgarr
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1
