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Msida vs St. Andrews Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Wagner
(Penalty)
52' Event
Wagner
(Penalty)
61' Event
Mbata V.

AI Match Summary

St. Andrews in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Andrews.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Msida
35%
Draws
32%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Andrews lately — more wins on the board than Msida.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Andrews have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Msida Clean Sheet 20%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Msida St. Andrews
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 8
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.51
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Challenge League
Msida vs St. Andrews
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Msida
3:2
Feb 8, 2015 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Msida
2:1
Oct 4, 2014 Challenge League
Msida vs St. Andrews
1:3
Jan 25, 2014 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Msida
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Msida Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbata V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Borg L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Msida 32 / 100
St. Andrews 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Msida St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

St. Andrews's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 41 matches.

Away concern: St. Andrews has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Msida's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Andrews
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Msida

(Home)
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1
Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2
Fgura
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 1
Msida
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3
St. Andrews
17 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0
Msida
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St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
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