Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
46'
46'
(Penalty)
53'
53'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Msida advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Msida
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Xaghra carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Msida a 80% chance of winning this.
- Xaghra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Msida, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Msida Clean Sheet 17%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Msida | Xaghra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 19 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 25 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2023 FA Trophy
Msida vs Xaghra
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Msida 57 / 100
Xaghra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Msida Xaghra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Msida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Xaghra conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Xaghra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Msida scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Msida VS Xaghra
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Msida
(Home) 26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1 Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2 Fgura
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 1 Msida
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3 St. Andrews
17 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0 Msida
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1 Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2 Fgura
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3 St. Andrews
10 Mar
Msida
2 : 3 Swieqi
17 Feb
Msida
0 : 2 Lija
Page 1 of 3
Xaghra
(Away) 18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2 Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1 Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5 Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1 Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6 Hamrun
Page 1 of 4
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2 Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1 Xaghra
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1 Xaghra
10 Feb
Birzebbuga
1 : 4 Xaghra
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1 Xaghra
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1
