Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MSK Lucenec vs Kalinovo

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - Central
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MSK Lucenec host Kalinovo in the 3. Liga - Central. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. MSK Lucenec have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Kalinovo's 1 scored and 1.97 conceded. Past meetings favor MSK Lucenec slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.31) back MSK Lucenec to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MSK Lucenec
20%
Draws
40%
Kalinovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • MSK Lucenec have won more games recently than Kalinovo.
  • Model gives MSK Lucenec a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
MSK Lucenec Clean Sheet 18%
Kalinovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSK Lucenec Kalinovo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 3. Liga - Central
Kalinovo vs MSK Lucenec
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 3. Liga - Central
MSK Lucenec vs Kalinovo
2:1
May 10, 2025 3. Liga - East
MSK Lucenec vs Kalinovo
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
MSK Lucenec vs Kalinovo
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 3. Liga - East
Kalinovo vs MSK Lucenec
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSK Lucenec 36 / 100
Kalinovo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSK Lucenec Kalinovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalinovo has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

MSK Lucenec found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Difficult form: Kalinovo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

MSK Lucenec VS Kalinovo
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MSK Lucenec

(Home)
13 Sept
B. Bystrica B
2 : 0
MSK Lucenec
08 Sept
MSK Lucenec
0 : 2
Komarno
05 Sept
MSK Lucenec
1 : 1
Podkonice
29 Aug
Tatran Oravske Vesele
3 : 2
MSK Lucenec
26 Aug
Slovan Halic
0 : 5
MSK Lucenec
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Kalinovo

(Away)
13 Sept
Podkonice
3 : 2
Kalinovo
06 Sept
Kalinovo
2 : 1
Tatran Oravske Vesele
29 Aug
Cadca
4 : 0
Kalinovo
23 Aug
Kalinovo
0 : 0
Filakovo
19 Aug
Brezno
4 : 1
Kalinovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ruzomberok B 6 5 1 0 19:6 16
2 Namestovo 6 5 0 1 18:7 15
3 Podkonice 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
4 Filakovo 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
5 Tatran Oravske Vesele 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 MSK Martin 6 3 0 3 16:14 9
7 Cadca 6 3 0 3 14:9 9
8 Rimavska Sobota 6 3 0 3 11:15 9
9 Kalinovo 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
10 B. Bystrica B 6 1 2 3 4:12 5
11 TJ Sokol Medzibrod 6 1 2 3 4:12 5
12 MSK Lucenec 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
13 D. Kubin 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
14 Kysucke Nove Mesto 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)