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MSK Lucenec vs Kysucke Nove Mesto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - Central
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MSK Lucenec host Kysucke Nove Mesto in the 3. Liga - Central. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kysucke Nove Mesto have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while MSK Lucenec have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, MSK Lucenec have won 1 to Kysucke Nove Mesto's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward MSK Lucenec. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
MSK Lucenec
15%
Draws
34%
Kysucke Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MSK Lucenec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MSK Lucenec come out ahead of Kysucke Nove Mesto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans MSK Lucenec's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Liga - Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
MSK Lucenec Clean Sheet 19%
Kysucke Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSK Lucenec Kysucke Nove Mesto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Liga - Central
MSK Lucenec vs Kysucke Nove Mesto
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 3. Liga - Central
Kysucke Nove Mesto vs MSK Lucenec
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSK Lucenec 85 / 100
Kysucke Nove Mesto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSK Lucenec Kysucke Nove Mesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSK Lucenec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kysucke Nove Mesto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

MSK Lucenec's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Kysucke Nove Mesto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MSK Lucenec VS Kysucke Nove Mesto
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MSK Lucenec

(Home)
10 Oct
MSK Lucenec
2 : 3
Ruzomberok B
03 Oct
MSK Martin
2 : 1
MSK Lucenec
26 Sept
MSK Lucenec
2 : 1
Kalinovo
19 Sept
MSK Lucenec
3 : 0
TJ Sokol Medzibrod
13 Sept
B. Bystrica B
2 : 0
MSK Lucenec
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Kysucke Nove Mesto

(Away)
03 Oct
Kysucke Nove Mesto
1 : 0
Tatran Oravske Vesele
26 Sept
Cadca
6 : 0
Kysucke Nove Mesto
19 Sept
Kysucke Nove Mesto
1 : 1
Filakovo
12 Sept
Rimavska Sobota
4 : 1
Kysucke Nove Mesto
05 Sept
D. Kubin
1 : 0
Kysucke Nove Mesto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ruzomberok B 10 8 2 0 33:13 26
2 Namestovo 10 8 1 1 28:9 25
3 Cadca 10 6 1 3 26:13 19
4 Filakovo 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
5 MSK Martin 9 6 0 3 23:18 18
6 Podkonice 9 4 2 3 23:17 14
7 Rimavska Sobota 10 4 0 6 15:21 12
8 Tatran Oravske Vesele 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
9 MSK Lucenec 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
10 Kalinovo 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
11 B. Bystrica B 10 2 2 6 7:19 8
12 TJ Sokol Medzibrod 9 2 2 5 6:18 8
13 Kysucke Nove Mesto 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
14 D. Kubin 10 1 2 7 8:22 5
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)