Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MSK Puchov vs Spartak Trnava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mosko M.
31' Event
Bukovsky D.
49' Event
Bukovsky D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MSK Puchov
35%
Draws
32%
Spartak Trnava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Trnava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on MSK Puchov taking it.
  • Spartak Trnava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartak Trnava, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Trnava here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
MSK Puchov Clean Sheet 12%
Spartak Trnava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSK Puchov Spartak Trnava
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Slovak Cup
MSK Puchov vs Spartak Trnava
1:3
Sep 13, 2011 Slovak Cup
MSK Puchov vs Spartak Trnava
0:3
Jan 9, 2010 Club Friendly
Spartak Trnava vs MSK Puchov
6:1
May 27, 2006 Nike liga
Spartak Trnava vs MSK Puchov
1:0
Apr 8, 2006 Nike liga
MSK Puchov vs Spartak Trnava
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MSK Puchov Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spartak Trnava Compare

Top Goalscorer Bukovsky D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kudlicka T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSK Puchov 47 / 100
Spartak Trnava 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSK Puchov Spartak Trnava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSK Puchov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: MSK Puchov stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

MSK Puchov scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Spartak Trnava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

MSK Puchov VS Spartak Trnava
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MSK Puchov

(Home)
10 Oct
MSK Puchov
1 : 1
Banik Prievidza
03 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 2
MSK Puchov
26 Sept
MSK Puchov
5 : 0
MSK Senec
19 Sept
Gabcikovo
1 : 1
MSK Puchov
12 Sept
MSK Puchov
2 : 0
Belusa
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Trnava

(Away)
11 Oct
Podbrezova
1 : 3
Spartak Trnava
20 Sept
Dun. Streda
2 : 2
Spartak Trnava
12 Sept
Spartak Trnava
5 : 2
FC Kosice
06 Sept
Ruzomberok
1 : 1
Spartak Trnava
02 Sept
MSK Puchov
1 : 3
Spartak Trnava
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zavazna Poruba 0
Kysucke Nove Mesto 2
Korna 0
Cadca 7
Ostrovany 2
Kendice 3
Druzstevnik Circ 0
Presov 3
Giraltovce 2
Bardejov 6
Zahradne 3
Vranov 4
Hronec 0
Filakovo 4
Lovca 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Bernolakovo 0
Raca 3
Rohoznik 0
Samorin 1
Druzstevnik Cicarovce 1
Stropkov 6
Snina 1
FK Humenne 2
Partizan Osrblie 1
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Oravska Jasenica 0
Povazska Bystrica 2
Hranovnica 1
Harichovce 2
SIM Raslavice 0
FC Kosice 5
Svaty Jur 5
Malinovo 1
Senkvice 0
Dunajska Luzna 4
Besenov 0
Nove Zamky 2
Nova Dedinka 1
Petrzalka 5
Kovarce 0
Sala 1
Jelka 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Magura Vavrecka 2
SK Tvrdosin 0
Divina 0
Zilina 8
Borsky Mikulas 0
Belusa 2
Kopcany 1
Piestany 8
Rovnost Krajne 1
MSK Puchov 3
Stankovce 0
Spartak Trnava 3
Trebatice 0
Boleraz 3
Soporna 2
Malzenice 1
Visnove 0
Namestovo 4
Rosina 0
Bytca 2
Tomasov 3
Gabcikovo 1
Jakubov 1
Inter Bratislava 4
Geca 0
Spisska Nova Ves 4
Rudnany 0
Podbrezova 3
Cana 0
Lokomotiva Kosice 4
FK Kechnec 0
Slavia Kosice 3
Krasno 2
Podkonice 1
Jednota Banova 0
Trencin 6
Priehrada 1
Banik Prievidza 3
FC Topolcany 0
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 5
Roznava 1
Spartak Medzev 2
Velke Kapusany 0
Michalovce 3
Dynamo Diviaky 1
Nova Bana 3
Priechod 0
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
Slovan Halic 0
MSK Lucenec 5
Tomasovce 0
Komarno 5
Zitavany 1
Velke Ludince 4
Svaty Peter 0
Dun. Streda 13
Brezno 4
Kalinovo 1
Kovacova 0
Zvolen 4
Iskra Holic 1
Myjava 3
Vycapy Opatovce 1
Galanta 4
Vysoke Tatry 0
FK Poprad 2
Spisske Podhradie 0
Ruzomberok 5
Vinohrad Cebovce 0
Druzstevnik Latky 4
TJD Pribelce 1
FK Pohronie 3
Nitra-Dolne Krskany 0
Nitra 2
Nitra-Chrenova 0
Slovan Bratislava 8
FK 05 Levoca 3
Brezovica 2
Gerlachov 0
L. Mikulas 1
Kvasov 2
MSK Martin 5
AFC Nove Mesto 0
Skalica 1
1/32-finals
Kysucke Nove Mesto 1
Cadca 3
Kendice 0
Presov 8
Bardejov 1
Vranov 2
Filakovo 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Raca 1
Samorin 2
Stropkov 1
FK Humenne 2
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Povazska Bystrica 3
Harichovce 0
FC Kosice 7
Svaty Jur 2
Dunajska Luzna 1
Nove Zamky 4
Petrzalka 3
Sala 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Magura Vavrecka 0
Zilina 5
Belusa 1
Piestany 2
MSK Puchov 1
Spartak Trnava 3
Boleraz 3
Soporna 1
Namestovo 1
Bytca 0
Tomasov 0
Inter Bratislava 1
Spisska Nova Ves 1
Podbrezova 2
Lokomotiva Kosice 3
Slavia Kosice 0
Krasno 0
Trencin 2
Banik Prievidza 1
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 3
Spartak Medzev 0
Michalovce 2
Nova Bana 1
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
MSK Lucenec 0
Komarno 2
Velke Ludince 3
Dun. Streda 2
Brezno 0
Zvolen 4
Myjava 2
Galanta 1
FK Poprad 0
Ruzomberok 2
Druzstevnik Latky 1
FK Pohronie 5
Nitra 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
FK 05 Levoca 0
L. Mikulas 2
MSK Martin 1
Skalica 4
1/16-finals
Cadca -
Presov -
Vranov -
Banska Bystrica -
Samorin -
FK Humenne -
Povazska Bystrica -
FC Kosice -
Svaty Jur -
Nove Zamky -
Kostolne Kracany -
Zilina -
Piestany -
Spartak Trnava -
Boleraz -
Namestovo -
Inter Bratislava 0
Podbrezova 2
Lokomotiva Kosice -
Trencin -
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom -
Michalovce -
Z. Moravce-Vrable -
Komarno -
Velke Ludince -
Zvolen -
Myjava -
Ruzomberok -
FK Pohronie -
Slovan Bratislava -
L. Mikulas -
Skalica -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -